Where do the best players in the NBA come from? In order to answer that we have created 17 different teams and quantified their team strength using each players Crafted Plus Minus. We started with Nate Duncan and Danny Lereaux's rosters from a recent Dunc'd On podcast exploring this very topic and made slight adjustments from there (sorry Dallas, no Pascal Siakam for you).
Some Items of Note:
Nitty Gritty: We took each team's roster and broke it down into ~ a 10 man rotation and assigned each player a value based upon their Crafted Plus Minus from just prior to the current NBA season. We then ran each team through FiveThirtyEight's projection formula to answer the question 'how many game this team would win if they were in the NBA?'.
*offRating: projected NBA offensive rating
*defRating: projected NBA defensive rating
*netRating: projected NBA net rating
*projWins: projected wins if this team were in the NBA
*winsperpop: wins divided by population
Click a team to load their roster below
Team | Population | offRating | defRating | netRating | projWins | WinsPerPop | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Southern California | 24.1 | 121.8 | 107.1 | 14.7 | 70 | 2.9 |
2 | NYNJ | 17.5 | 117.1 | 108.4 | 8.7 | 61 | 3.49 |
3 | North Carolina | 10.4 | 114.8 | 108.3 | 6.5 | 57 | 5.48 |
4 | Chicago | 12.7 | 110.9 | 105.5 | 5.4 | 55 | 4.33 |
5 | Indiana | 6.7 | 111.2 | 108.6 | 2.6 | 48 | 7.16 |
6 | DMV | 7.1 | 110.1 | 107.7 | 2.4 | 47 | 6.62 |
7 | Michigan | 9.9 | 111.9 | 110.1 | 1.8 | 46 | 4.65 |
8 | Houston | 7.5 | 108.7 | 108.2 | 0.5 | 42 | 5.6 |
9 | Dallas | 7.5 | 108.8 | 108.3 | 0.5 | 42 | 5.6 |
10 | Ohio | 11.7 | 111.6 | 111.2 | 0.4 | 42 | 3.59 |
11 | Atlanta | 6.5 | 110.1 | 109.9 | 0.2 | 41 | 6.31 |
12 | Northern California | 15.5 | 111.5 | 108.3 | 0 | 49 | 3.16 |
13 | Missouri | 6.1 | 109.8 | 110.7 | -0.9 | 39 | 6.39 |
14 | New England | 16.5 | 107.5 | 109 | -1.5 | 37 | 2.24 |
15 | Philly | 6.5 | 108.9 | 110.8 | -1.9 | 36 | 5.54 |
16 | Washington | 7.5 | 107.6 | 112.1 | -4.5 | 30 | 4 |
17 | Florida | 21.3 | 105.2 | 115.4 | -10.2 | 18 | 0.85 |
Name | Team | offPlusMinus | defPlusMinus | projPlusMinus | Minutes |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mike Conley | Indiana | 3.03 | 0.12 | 3.15 | 32 |
George Hill | Indiana | -0.13 | 0.86 | 0.73 | 16 |
Eric Gordon | Indiana | 1.89 | -1.29 | 0.6 | 24 |
Gary Harris | Indiana | 0.55 | -0.04 | 0.51 | 24 |
Jeff Teague | Indiana | 0.23 | -0.97 | -0.74 | 0 |
Gordon Hayward | Indiana | 0.65 | -0.3 | 0.35 | 32 |
Jaren Jackson Jr. | Indiana | -2.4 | 2.03 | -0.37 | 30 |
Glenn Robinson III | Indiana | -2.59 | 0.25 | -2.34 | 10 |
Cody Zeller | Indiana | -0.26 | 1.3 | 1.04 | 24 |
Courtney Lee | Indiana | -1.51 | -0.85 | -2.36 | 0 |
E'Twaun Moore | Indiana | -0.53 | -1.22 | -1.75 | 0 |
Romeo Langford | Indiana | -1.29 | -1.44 | -2.73 | 0 |
Trey Lyles | Indiana | -0.93 | -0.16 | -1.09 | 14 |
Dylan Windler | Indiana | -0.68 | -0.19 | -0.87 | 10 |
Kyle Guy | Indiana | -0.7 | -0.69 | -1.39 | 0 |
Caleb Swanigan | Indiana | -2.59 | 0.19 | -2.4 | 0 |
Mason Plumlee | Indiana | -0.94 | 1.47 | 0.53 | 24 |
Jrue Holiday | Southern California | 2.38 | 1.64 | 4.02 | 26 |
Russell Westbrook | Southern California | 2.86 | 0.83 | 3.69 | 28 |
Lonzo Ball | Southern California | -1 | 2.12 | 1.12 | 0 |
Allen Crabbe | Southern California | -1.03 | -0.71 | -1.74 | 0 |
DeMar DeRozan | Southern California | 0.76 | -0.72 | 0.04 | 12 |
James Harden | Southern California | 6.77 | -0.61 | 6.16 | 32 |
Klay Thompson | Southern California | 1.25 | -1.09 | 0.16 | 28 |
Paul George | Southern California | 3.43 | 2.12 | 5.55 | 34 |
Kawhi Leonard | Southern California | 3.34 | 0.46 | 3.8 | 32 |
Delon Wright | Southern California | -0.02 | 0.27 | 0.25 | 0 |
Tony Snell | Southern California | -0.73 | -1.18 | -1.91 | 0 |
Trevor Ariza | Southern California | -0.87 | -0.65 | -1.52 | 0 |
Dewayne Dedmon | Southern California | -1.24 | 1.69 | 0.45 | 22 |
Jordan Bell | Southern California | -1.89 | 0.36 | -1.53 | 16 |
Tyson Chandler | Southern California | -2.81 | 2.04 | -0.77 | 10 |
Aaron Holiday | Southern California | -0.31 | 0.12 | -0.19 | 0 |
Justin Holiday | Southern California | -1.89 | 0.29 | -1.6 | 0 |
Kemba Walker | NYNJ | 3.69 | -0.72 | 2.97 | 28 |
Kyrie Irving | NYNJ | 3.89 | -0.42 | 3.47 | 32 |
Donovan Mitchell | NYNJ | 1.31 | 0.93 | 2.24 | 32 |
Danny Green | NYNJ | 1.44 | 1.53 | 2.97 | 26 |
Tobias HArris | NYNJ | 0.53 | -0.31 | 0.22 | 24 |
Karl Anthony Towns | NYNJ | 3.48 | 0.64 | 4.12 | 34 |
Joakim Noah | NYNJ | -2.6 | 1.2 | -1.4 | 0 |
Lance Stephenson | NYNJ | -1 | -2.2 | -3.2 | 0 |
JR Smith | NYNJ | -0.8 | -1.4 | -2.2 | 0 |
Kenneth Faried | NYNJ | -0.5 | -0.4 | -0.9 | 0 |
Thomas Bryant | NYNJ | -0.03 | 0.48 | 0.45 | 14 |
Moe Harkless | NYNJ | -0.53 | 1.37 | 0.84 | 16 |
Jonathan Isaac | NYNJ | -1.65 | 1.63 | -0.02 | 24 |
Eric Paschall | NYNJ | -1.26 | -0.31 | -1.57 | 10 |
Mo Bamba | NYNJ | -4.5 | 1.27 | -3.23 | 0 |
Trey Burke | Ohio | 0.58 | -1.85 | -1.27 | 16 |
Terry Rozier | Ohio | -1.32 | 0.09 | -1.23 | 24 |
CJ McCollum | Ohio | 2.07 | -0.82 | 1.25 | 32 |
Luke Kennard | Ohio | -0.11 | -0.73 | -0.84 | 30 |
Shane Larkin | Ohio | 0.1 | -0.2 | -0.1 | 8 |
Darius Bazley | Ohio | -2.09 | -0.47 | -2.56 | 16 |
Jakarr Sampson | Ohio | -1 | -0.3 | -1.3 | 12 |
LeBron James | Ohio | 4.44 | 0.78 | 5.22 | 34 |
Larry Nance Jr. | Ohio | -0.25 | 1.61 | 1.36 | 32 |
Omari Spellman | Ohio | -1.58 | -0.94 | -2.52 | 26 |
Gary Trent Jr. | Ohio | -1.62 | -0.67 | -2.29 | 10 |
Chris Paul | North Carolina | 2.52 | 1.8 | 4.32 | 30 |
Steph Curry | North Carolina | 6.54 | 0.39 | 6.93 | 32 |
Seth Curry | North Carolina | -0.72 | -0.37 | -1.09 | 10 |
Reggie Bullock | North Carolina | -0.29 | -1.07 | -1.36 | 18 |
John Wall | North Carolina | 0.75 | -0.35 | 0.4 | 18 |
Coby White | North Carolina | -0.47 | -1.78 | -2.25 | 0 |
Brandon Ingram | North Carolina | -0.72 | -0.36 | -1.08 | 28 |
Kent Bazemore | North Carolina | -2 | 0.35 | -1.65 | 16 |
PJ Tucker | North Carolina | -0.67 | 1.24 | 0.57 | 26 |
Montrezl Harrell | North Carolina | 1.12 | -0.36 | 0.76 | 26 |
Ish Smith | North Carolina | -0.35 | -0.46 | -0.81 | 0 |
Hassan Whiteside | North Carolina | -1.29 | 2.69 | 1.4 | 10 |
Dennis Smith | North Carolina | -1.5 | -0.19 | -1.69 | 0 |
Harry Giles | North Carolina | -1.83 | -0.12 | -1.95 | 0 |
Bam Adebayo | North Carolina | -1.04 | 2.11 | 1.07 | 26 |
Pat Beverley | Chicago | 0.89 | 1.05 | 1.94 | 26 |
Fred VanVleet | Chicago | 0.87 | 0.27 | 1.14 | 26 |
Derrick Rose | Chicago | 0.94 | -1.94 | -1 | 14 |
Kendrick Nunn | Chicago | -1.3 | -0.9 | -2.2 | 0 |
Robert Covington | Chicago | -0.51 | 3.67 | 3.16 | 30 |
Andre Iguodala | Chicago | 0.1 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 22 |
Jabari Parker | Chicago | -0.81 | -0.73 | -1.54 | 20 |
Anthony Davis | Chicago | 2.46 | 3 | 5.46 | 34 |
Richaun Holmes | Chicago | -0.95 | 0.61 | -0.34 | 18 |
Frank Kaminsky | Chicago | 0.29 | -0.8 | -0.51 | 12 |
Meyers Leonard | Chicago | -0.78 | -1.14 | -1.92 | 6 |
Jevon Carter | Chicago | -2.01 | 0.03 | -1.98 | 6 |
Sterling Brown | Chicago | -2.16 | -0.59 | -2.75 | 10 |
Evan Turner | Chicago | -2.26 | -0.51 | -2.77 | 10 |
Jahlil Okafor | Chicago | -2.24 | -0.3 | -2.54 | 0 |
Iman Shumpert | Chicago | -0.9 | 0.3 | -0.6 | 0 |
Jalen Brunson | Chicago | 0.44 | -1.42 | -0.98 | 6 |
Markelle Fultz | DMV | -1.74 | 0.29 | -1.45 | 20 |
Quinn Cook | DMV | -1.47 | -2.86 | -4.33 | 14 |
Victor Oladipo | DMV | 1.07 | 2.01 | 3.08 | 32 |
Josh Hart | DMV | -1.2 | 1.05 | -0.15 | 20 |
Kevin Durant | DMV | 4.74 | 0 | 4.74 | 34 |
Will Barton | DMV | -1.02 | -1.33 | -2.35 | 20 |
Rudy Gay | DMV | -0.13 | 1.21 | 1.08 | 18 |
Jerami Grant | DMV | -0.82 | 1.05 | 0.23 | 26 |
Dorian Finney-Smith | DMV | -0.99 | 0.18 | -0.81 | 10 |
Jerian Grant | DMV | -0.8 | -0.6 | -1.4 | 0 |
Ed Davis | DMV | -1.87 | 2.41 | 0.54 | 24 |
Carmelo Anthony | DMV | 0 | -1.5 | -1.5 | 0 |
Jeff Green | DMV | -0.47 | -0.99 | -1.46 | 22 |
Michael Beasley | DMV | -0.9 | -1.5 | -2.4 | 0 |
Monte Morris | Michigan | 0.51 | -0.47 | 0.04 | 26 |
Bryn Forbes | Michigan | -0.22 | -1.07 | -1.29 | 16 |
Edmond Sumner | Michigan | -1.74 | -0.18 | -1.92 | 6 |
Denzel Valentine | Michigan | -0.78 | -0.11 | -0.89 | 16 |
Wilson Chandler | Michigan | -0.98 | -0.55 | -1.53 | 20 |
Draymond Green | Michigan | 0.3 | 3.63 | 3.93 | 34 |
Al Horford | Michigan | 1.21 | 1.72 | 2.93 | 32 |
Kyle Kuzma | Michigan | 0.56 | -0.64 | -0.08 | 26 |
Devin Booker | Michigan | 2.4 | -2.78 | -0.38 | 34 |
Miles Bridges | Michigan | -0.32 | -0.76 | -1.08 | 24 |
Josh Jackson | Michigan | -2.63 | -0.61 | -3.24 | 6 |
De'Aaron Fox | Houston | 0.43 | 0.05 | 0.48 | 34 |
Alex Caruso | Houston | -0.69 | 0.71 | 0.02 | 24 |
Carsen Edwards | Houston | -0.66 | -1.89 | -2.55 | 20 |
Jimmy Butler | Houston | 1.99 | 1.32 | 3.31 | 34 |
Justin Jackson | Houston | -0.76 | -0.73 | -1.49 | 24 |
Justice Winslow | Houston | -0.6 | 1.83 | 1.23 | 32 |
DeAndre Jordan | Houston | -1.37 | 1.89 | 0.52 | 28 |
Jarred Vanderbilt | Houston | -2.14 | 0.85 | -1.29 | 20 |
Gerald Green | Houston | 0.14 | -2.08 | -1.94 | 24 |
Marcus Smart | Dallas | 0.35 | 1.05 | 1.4 | 30 |
DJ Augustin | Dallas | 0.7 | -1.08 | -0.38 | 24 |
Royce O'Neale | Dallas | -1.58 | 1.6 | 0.02 | 24 |
CJ Miles | Dallas | -1.11 | -0.62 | -1.73 | 18 |
Emmanuel Mudiay | Dallas | -0.77 | -2.12 | -2.89 | 10 |
Terrance Ferguson | Dallas | -1.41 | -0.79 | -2.2 | 16 |
Danuel House | Dallas | 0.15 | -0.27 | -0.12 | 26 |
LaMarcus Aldridge | Dallas | 0.86 | 0.99 | 1.85 | 28 |
Myles Turner | Dallas | -1.37 | 3.13 | 1.76 | 30 |
Julius Randle | Dallas | 0.85 | -1.22 | -0.37 | 24 |
Zhaire Smith | Dallas | -0.48 | -0.41 | -0.89 | 10 |
Lou Williams | Atlanta | 3.01 | -3.38 | -0.37 | 22 |
Malcolm Brogdon | Atlanta | 1.31 | -0.22 | 1.09 | 30 |
Jeremy Lamb | Atlanta | 0.54 | 0.15 | 0.69 | 26 |
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope | Atlanta | 0.7 | -1.56 | -0.86 | 14 |
Jaylen Brown | Atlanta | -0.8 | 0.78 | -0.02 | 32 |
Jae Crowder | Atlanta | 0.46 | -0.61 | -0.15 | 16 |
Al-Farouq Aminu | Atlanta | 0.31 | 1.58 | 1.89 | 22 |
Wendell Carter | Atlanta | -3.35 | 2.6 | -0.75 | 20 |
Derrick Favors | Atlanta | -0.59 | 2.07 | 1.48 | 20 |
Dwight Howard | Atlanta | -1.68 | 1.24 | -0.44 | 8 |
Collin Sexton | Atlanta | -0.69 | -3.97 | -4.66 | 14 |
Josh Okogie | Atlanta | -0.82 | 0.44 | -0.38 | 16 |
Damian Lillard | Northern California | 5.31 | -0.32 | 4.99 | 34 |
Jeremy Lin | Northern California | -0.8 | -0.6 | -1.4 | 30 |
Aaron Gordon | Northern California | 0.38 | 0.9 | 1.28 | 32 |
Ryan Anderson | Northern California | -1.2 | -0.9 | -2.1 | 22 |
DJ Wilson | Northern California | -1.92 | 0.61 | -1.31 | 24 |
Ivan Rabb | Northern California | -1.02 | -0.69 | -1.71 | 16 |
Marquese Chriss | Northern California | -2.5 | -1.2 | -3.7 | 6 |
Tyler Johnson | Northern California | -0.74 | -0.42 | -1.16 | 32 |
Brook Lopez | Northern California | 0.07 | 2.49 | 2.56 | 26 |
Robin Lopez | Northern California | -1.93 | 0.52 | -1.41 | 18 |
Shaq Harrison | Missouri | -2.18 | 0.4 | -1.78 | 28 |
Alec Burks | Missouri | -1.29 | -1.45 | -2.74 | 18 |
Pat McCaw | Missouri | -2.68 | -0.84 | -3.52 | 12 |
Ben McLemore | Missouri | -1.62 | -0.62 | -2.24 | 16 |
Landry Shamet | Missouri | 1.26 | -1.52 | -0.26 | 22 |
Bradley Beal | Missouri | 3.15 | -0.99 | 2.16 | 34 |
Jayson Tatum | Missouri | 0.65 | 1.73 | 2.38 | 32 |
Otto Porter | Missouri | 1.38 | 0.91 | 2.29 | 26 |
Anthony Tolliver | Missouri | -1.31 | -0.35 | -1.66 | 30 |
Michael Porter Jr. | Missouri | -0.95 | 0.05 | -0.9 | 22 |
Kris Dunn | New England | -1.32 | -0.13 | -1.45 | 30 |
Pat Connaughton | New England | -0.17 | -0.36 | -0.53 | 28 |
Jake LAyman | New England | -1.18 | -0.26 | -1.44 | 30 |
Bruce Brown | New England | 0.94 | -1.94 | -1 | 22 |
Terrance Mann | New England | -1.37 | -0.22 | -1.59 | 12 |
Shabazz Napier | New England | 0.2 | 0.06 | 0.26 | 18 |
Wayne Selden | New England | -2.3 | -2.7 | -5 | 0 |
Noah Vonleh | New England | -1.39 | 1.05 | -0.34 | 24 |
Nerlens Noel | New England | -3.01 | 3.02 | 0.01 | 18 |
Andre Drummond | New England | 0.49 | 1.54 | 2.03 | 30 |
Kevin Huerter | New England | 0.89 | -0.42 | 0.47 | 28 |
Dejounte Murray | Washington | -0.73 | 1.86 | 1.13 | 34 |
Isaiah Thomas | Washington | 0.79 | -1.83 | -1.04 | 22 |
Avery Bradley | Washington | -1.84 | -1.11 | -2.95 | 28 |
Zach Lavine | Washington | 0.7 | -1.5 | -0.8 | 34 |
Matisse Thybulle | Washington | -0.95 | 0.7 | -0.25 | 34 |
Kevin Porter Jr. | Washington | -2.27 | -1.09 | -3.36 | 20 |
Joe Harris | Washington | 0.37 | -1.68 | -1.31 | 34 |
Marvin Williams | Washington | -0.43 | 0.39 | -0.04 | 34 |
Anfernee Simons | Florida | -1.97 | -1.58 | -3.55 | 22 |
Austin Rivers | Florida | -0.25 | -1.46 | -1.71 | 18 |
Tim Hardaway Jr. | Florida | 0.48 | -1.45 | -0.97 | 26 |
Rodney McGruder | Florida | -1.23 | -0.39 | -1.62 | 18 |
Grayson Allen | Florida | -2.31 | -3.41 | -5.72 | 16 |
Brandon Knight | Florida | -0.7 | -1.2 | -1.9 | 0 |
Kevin Knox | Florida | -2.58 | -2.93 | -5.51 | 18 |
Chandler Parsons | Florida | -1.52 | -0.54 | -2.06 | 16 |
Nassir Little | Florida | -1.99 | -1.11 | -3.1 | 24 |
Vince Carter | Florida | -0.73 | -0.03 | -0.76 | 16 |
John Collins | Florida | 1.32 | -0.68 | 0.64 | 34 |
John Henson | Florida | -1.24 | 1.27 | 0.03 | 16 |
Tony Bradley | Florida | -1.82 | -0.59 | -2.41 | 16 |
Udonis Haslem | Florida | -2.89 | -0.03 | -2.92 | 0 |
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