Advanced stats will update to the current season on February 1st.

Evaluating Each Team's Young Talent

Young Core - players must be 25 or younger and projected to receive playing time in the coming season to qualify.

* Estimated Win Total - This is a very crude estimate based upon replacing players on a team with below average talent (a 26 win team) with the players listed for each team. We came to this number by taking an average team's minutes distribution, making their three highest minute players replacement level (using -2.5 plus minus as replacement level), and filling out the roster with a group of average NBA players (~ -.5 plus minus ). We then ran this roster through a simulated NBA schedule 100 times, and came out with about 26 wins. The main idea here is that the players from the Young Core replace the minutes played by the replacement level players from the 26 win team. While the win totals are very rough estimates, it works as a measure for comparing the talent between different teams.

*The Wins Above Replacement player projections come from our player projections, and update periodically throughout the season. While a player like Jayson Tatum is listed at a 11.4 peak WAR, this is what we consider his most likely outcome. It is just as possible that he goes over that 11.4 as he goes under.

MEM

De'Anthony Melton 7.8
Ja Morant 7
Jaren Jackson Jr. 5.8
Tyus Jones 5.2
Justise Winslow 4.4

Projected Wins

56

NOP

Zion Williamson 9.1
Brandon Ingram 6.1
Lonzo Ball 5.8
Josh Hart 4.5
Jaxson Hayes 4.2

Projected Wins

56

BOS

Jayson Tatum 11.3
Jaylen Brown 6.4
Romeo Langford 5.2
Grant Williams 3.7
Robert Williams III 2.6

Projected Wins

55

MIN

Karl-Anthony Towns 10
D'Angelo Russell 5.6
Naz Reid 4.9
Jarrett Culver 4.4
Josh Okogie 4.4

Projected Wins

55

DAL

Luka Doncic 14
Kristaps Porzingis 7.3
Jalen Brunson 5.3
Justin Jackson 1.8

Projected Wins

54

DEN

Nikola Jokic 10.4
Jamal Murray 8
Monte Morris 3.6
Michael Porter Jr. 3.3
Isaiah Hartenstein 2.8

Projected Wins

54

PHX

Devin Booker 8.2
Deandre Ayton 6.6
Mikal Bridges 5.8
Jevon Carter 3.5
Cameron Johnson 2.8

Projected Wins

53

ATL

Trae Young 9.9
John Collins 6.2
Cam Reddish 4.6
Kevin Huerter 3.9
De'Andre Hunter 2.5

Projected Wins

53

ORL

Jonathan Isaac 7.4
Mo Bamba 5
Aaron Gordon 4.6
Markelle Fultz 4.4
Dwayne Bacon 1.2

Projected Wins

49

OKC

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 6.7
Luguentz Dort 4.7
Darius Bazley 4.4
Hamidou Diallo 3.7
TJ Leaf 3

Projected Wins

49

PHI

Ben Simmons 7.4
Furkan Korkmaz 5.1
Matisse Thybulle 4.2
Tony Bradley 3.3
Terrance Ferguson 3

Projected Wins

49

CHI

Wendell Carter Jr. 5.8
Zach LaVine 5.5
Coby White 4.6
Lauri Markkanen 4
Noah Vonleh 3.1

Projected Wins

49

WAS

Isaac Bonga 6.2
Troy Brown Jr. 4.7
Thomas Bryant 4.6
Moritz Wagner 3.5
Jerome Robinson 3.2

Projected Wins

48

CHA

Devonte' Graham 5.8
Jalen McDaniels 5.1
Caleb Martin 4.4
P.J. Washington 4.1
Cody Martin 2.9

Projected Wins

48

IND

Domantas Sabonis 6.2
Aaron Holiday 4.8
Myles Turner 4.8
Goga Bitadze 4.1
Edmond Sumner 1.5

Projected Wins

47

NYK

Mitchell Robinson 6.8
RJ Barrett 4.6
Frank Ntilikina 4.4
Kevin Knox II 3.1
Theo Pinson 2.3

Projected Wins

47

CLE

Jarrett Allen 6.2
Kevin Porter Jr. 4.5
Collin Sexton 3.8
Darius Garland 3.7
Cedi Osman 2.6

Projected Wins

47

HOU

Christian Wood 7
Rodions Kurucs 4.5
Bruno Caboclo 3.9
Sterling Brown 2.9
Chris Clemons 2.5

Projected Wins

47

POR

Derrick Jones Jr. 4.8
Nassir Little 4.5
Zach Collins 3.8
Gary Trent Jr. 3.7
Anfernee Simons 2.9

Projected Wins

46

DET

Josh Jackson 6.2
Dzanan Musa 3.9
Svi Mykhailiuk 3.7
Sekou Doumbouya 3.5
Jahlil Okafor 2.1

Projected Wins

45

SAC

De'Aaron Fox 6.8
Marvin Bagley III 4.8
Jabari Parker 4.4
Chimezie Metu 2.6

Projected Wins

45

SAS

Jakob Poeltl 5.7
Dejounte Murray 4.1
Trey Lyles 3.5
Lonnie Walker IV 3
Drew Eubanks 2.7

Projected Wins

45

TOR

OG Anunoby 5.2
Terence Davis 4.6
Henry Ellenson 3.7
Stanley Johnson 3.2
Patrick McCaw 1.1

Projected Wins

44

MIA

Bam Adebayo 8.1
Tyler Herro 4.9
Kendrick Nunn 3.1
Chris Silva 1.8

Projected Wins

44

GSW

Marquese Chriss 5
Andrew Wiggins 4
Jordan Poole 3.6
Kelly Oubre Jr. 3.1
Eric Paschall 1.5

Projected Wins

43

LAC

Ivica Zubac 8.4
Luke Kennard 4.4
Terance Mann 3.5

Projected Wins

42

LAL

Talen Horton-Tucker 6.9
Kyle Kuzma 3.3

Projected Wins

36

MIL

Donte DiVincenzo 7.5
Bobby Portis 2
D.J. Wilson 0.7

Projected Wins

36

BKN

Bruce Brown 4.1
Landry Shamet 3.4
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot 2

Projected Wins

36

UTA

Donovan Mitchell 5.9

Projected Wins

32

Skal Labissiere 2.5
Chris Chiozza 2.3

Projected Wins

31