2021-22 NBA Projections

With the season fast approaching, we have run projections for the upcoming season using the multiyear, predictive version of our Crafted Plus Minus.

Each team has a projected record, offensive rating, defensive rating and net rating for the coming season. SQ is an estimate of the teams minutes weighted shooting ability.

TeamConferenceRecordVegasOffRtgDefRtgNetRtgSQ
1 Milwaukee East 57 - 25 54.5 115.1 108.5 6.6 67.1
2 Philadelphia East 53 - 29 50.5 113 107.7 5.3 62.4
3 Utah West 53 - 29 52.5 114.5 109.5 5 66.4
4 Atlanta East 52 - 30 47.5 116.4 111.7 4.7 64
5 Phoenix West 50 - 32 51.5 114.9 110.9 3.9 67.9
6 Boston East 49 - 33 45.5 114.5 111.3 3.3 62.8
7 Dallas West 49 - 33 48.5 115.1 112.1 3 66.8
8 Brooklyn East 47 - 35 56.5 115.2 112.6 2.6 65
9 Portland West 47 - 35 44.5 115.2 112.8 2.4 67.1
10 Denver West 45 - 37 47.5 114.5 112.7 1.8 66.2
11 New Orleans West 45 - 37 39.5 114.2 112.6 1.6 61.7
12 New York East 44 - 38 41.5 112.3 110.9 1.4 64.6
13 Memphis West 44 - 38 41.5 111.8 110.6 1.2 57
14 Indiana East 43 - 39 42.5 110.8 110 0.9 64.5
15 Minnesota West 42 - 40 35.5 113 112.4 0.6 63.2
16 Miami East 42 - 40 48.5 111.1 110.6 0.5 62.3
17 LA Clippers West 42 - 40 45.5 111.3 110.9 0.4 67.7
18 LA Lakers West 43 - 39 52.5 112.4 112.3 0.1 58.2
19 Chicago East 41 - 41 42.5 113 112.9 0 64.4
20 Toronto East 41 - 41 35.5 111.2 111.2 0 63.7
21 Golden State West 38 - 44 48.5 111 112.3 -1.3 65.6
22 San Antonio West 37 - 45 28.5 110.5 111.9 -1.4 56.4
23 Washington East 37 - 45 33.5 111.3 113.1 -1.8 62.7
24 Sacramento West 35 - 47 36.5 112.5 115.1 -2.6 60.6
25 Charlotte East 33 - 49 38.5 110.1 113.4 -3.2 60.2
26 Cleveland East 27 - 55 26.5 109 114.9 -5.8 61.9
27 Detroit East 26 - 56 24.5 107.4 113.5 -6.1 61.8
28 Orlando East 23 - 59 22.5 106.1 113.4 -7.3 56.7
29 Houston West 22 - 60 27.5 106.8 114.4 -7.6 57.1
30 Oklahoma West 21 - 61 23.5 105.6 113.6 -8 57.4

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