NBA Team Net Ratings

Luck Adjusted Net Rating

While there is ample evidence that teams can influence the type and location of shots that their opponents take, there is not a lot of evidence that teams have an influence on the percentage that a team shoots from three. Over the last 4 seasons, 92% of teams have allowed between 34% and 38% on opponent three-point shooting. This season, teams are shooting an average of 35 three-pointers per game. A team allowing their opponents to shoot 30% on these shots would be "saving" an average of ~6 points per game vs a team that was giving up the league average of 36% from three. On the opposite end of the spectrum, we have a team allowing their opponents to shoot a blistering 41% from three, which if we adjust down to 36%, would improve a team's defense by ~5 points per game.

To rectify the issue of opponent hot or cold shooting early in the season, we have adjusted each team's defensive rating to what it would be if that team was allowing opponents to shoot around the league average of 36% from three-point range. We have also added a slight adjustment to each team's offensive net rating to account for poor/good three-point shooting. Any team shooting below 34% from three was rounded up to 34%, while any team shooting greater than 38% was rounded down to 38%.

The chart below shows each team's current offensive, defensive, and net rating (taken from Basketball-Reference), as well as their luck adjusted offensive, defensive and net rating. Also included is each team's strength of schedule (the larger the number the tougher the schedule) and each team's 'Simple Rating', which is just the average of their adjusted net rating and healthy rating, minus their strength of schedule.

* last updated 01/24/2022 | updates weekly

# Team WLSRnetRtgadjNetRtgORtgadjORtgtm3PpctDRtgadjDRtgopp3PpctSOS
1 Utah Jazz 30 17 9.3 7.3 6.4 116.4 116.6 0.362 109.1 110.2 0.34 -0.6
2 Golden State Warriors 34 13 8.1 7.7 5.5 110.5 110.6 0.354 102.8 105.1 0.329 -0.1
3 Phoenix Suns 36 9 6.5 8 5.7 112.7 112.7 0.363 104.7 107 0.327 -0.4
4 Milwaukee Bucks 30 19 6.3 3.8 1.9 112.2 112.2 0.362 108.4 110.3 0.335 -0.7
5 Miami Heat 30 17 5.5 4.7 4.8 113.1 113.1 0.376 108.4 108.3 0.35 -0.4
6 Cleveland Cavaliers 28 19 4.9 4.9 4.1 110.8 110.9 0.348 105.9 106.8 0.341 0.3
7 Philadelphia 76ers 27 19 3.7 1.9 1.5 111.2 111.3 0.354 109.3 109.8 0.345 -0.5
8 Chicago Bulls 28 17 3.7 1.8 1.8 112.1 112.1 0.38 110.3 110.3 0.358 -0.4
9 Dallas Mavericks 27 20 2.4 2.8 1.4 109.4 109.4 0.329 106.6 108.1 0.336 -0.1
10 Brooklyn Nets 29 17 2.3 2.4 -0.1 112.5 112.6 0.352 110.1 112.7 0.327 -0.6
11 Minnesota Timberwolves 23 23 2 1 -0.4 110.4 110.3 0.343 109.4 110.7 0.339 0.1
12 Boston Celtics 24 24 1.3 2.2 1.7 109.8 109.6 0.34 107.6 107.9 0.346 0.1
13 Denver Nuggets 24 21 1.1 1.1 0.3 111.1 111 0.346 110 110.8 0.343 0.2
14 San Antonio Spurs 17 30 0.7 -0.7 -0.6 109.9 109.9 0.352 110.6 110.6 0.354 -0.1
15 Atlanta Hawks 21 25 0.1 -0.4 -0.7 114.3 114.1 0.375 114.7 114.8 0.357 0.2
16 Memphis Grizzlies 32 17 0.1 3.2 3.2 111.7 111.7 0.338 108.5 108.5 0.361 0.2
17 Toronto Raptors 22 22 -0.4 0.7 0.8 111.1 111.1 0.341 110.4 110.3 0.362 0.4
18 Charlotte Hornets 26 21 -0.4 -0.1 -0.3 112.4 112.3 0.367 112.5 112.6 0.356 -0.1
19 New York Knicks 23 24 -0.5 -0.3 -0.6 109.1 109.1 0.358 109.4 109.8 0.347 -0.5
20 Los Angeles Lakers 23 24 -0.9 -1.3 -1.7 108.8 108.8 0.35 110.1 110.5 0.346 -0.6
21 Indiana Pacers 17 30 -1.3 -0.9 -0.6 110.5 110.8 0.328 111.4 111.4 0.354 0.7
22 Los Angeles Clippers 23 25 -1.7 -1.2 -3.2 106.9 106.9 0.357 108.1 110.2 0.326 0.2
23 Washington Wizards 23 24 -1.8 -2.2 -1.8 109.8 110.4 0.324 112 112.2 0.348 0.1
24 Portland Trail Blazers 20 26 -2.4 -3.6 -3.5 110.5 110.5 0.359 114.1 114 0.371 0.9
25 New Orleans Pelicans 17 28 -3.2 -4.3 -4.4 108.2 108.2 0.338 112.5 112.5 0.369 0.5
26 Sacramento Kings 18 30 -3.4 -4 -3.9 110.1 110.2 0.348 114.1 114.1 0.354 0.1
27 Oklahoma City Thunder 14 32 -5.8 -7.6 -5.5 102.4 104.7 0.31 110 110.2 0.349 0.3
28 Houston Rockets 14 33 -8.6 -7.9 -8.2 107.1 107.1 0.347 115 115.4 0.346 0.1
29 Orlando Magic 9 39 -8.7 -8.6 -8.2 103.3 103.7 0.326 111.9 112 0.36 0.2
30 Detroit Pistons 11 35 -8.8 -9.7 -8.5 102.7 103.9 0.318 112.4 112.5 0.366 0.4

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