NBA Team Net Ratings

Luck Adjusted Net Rating

While there is ample evidence that teams can influence the type and location of shots that their opponents take, there is not a lot of evidence that teams have an influence on the percentage that a team shoots from three. Over the last 4 seasons, 92% of teams have allowed between 34% and 38% on opponent three-point shooting. This season, teams are shooting an average of 35 three-pointers per game. A team allowing their opponents to shoot 30% on these shots would be "saving" an average of ~6 points per game vs a team that was giving up the league average of 36% from three. On the opposite end of the spectrum, we have a team allowing their opponents to shoot a blistering 41% from three, which if we adjust down to 36%, would improve a team's defense by ~5 points per game.

To rectify the issue of opponent hot or cold shooting early in the season, we have adjusted each team's defensive rating to what it would be if that team was allowing opponents to shoot around the league average of 36% from three-point range. We have also added a slight adjustment to each team's offensive net rating to account for poor/good three-point shooting. Any team shooting below 34% from three was rounded up to 34%, while any team shooting greater than 38% was rounded down to 38%.

The chart below shows each team's current offensive, defensive, and net rating (taken from Basketball-Reference), as well as their luck adjusted offensive, defensive and net rating. Also included is each team's strength of schedule (the larger the number the tougher the schedule) and each team's 'Simple Rating', which is just the average of their adjusted net rating and healthy rating, minus their strength of schedule.

* last updated 03/18/2022 | updates weekly

# Team WLSRnetRtgadjNetRtgORtgadjORtgtm3PpctDRtgadjDRtgopp3PpctSOS
1 Boston Celtics 51 31 8 7.5 6.2 114.4 114.4 0.356 106.9 108.2 0.339 -0.2
2 Phoenix Suns 64 18 7.3 7.5 6.5 114.8 114.9 0.364 107.3 108.4 0.34 -0.5
3 Golden State Warriors 53 29 7.1 5.6 4.4 112.5 112.4 0.364 106.9 108 0.339 0
4 Utah Jazz 49 33 7 6.2 6 116.7 116.5 0.36 110.5 110.5 0.35 -0.3
5 Milwaukee Bucks 51 31 5.5 3.3 3.4 115.1 115.2 0.366 111.8 111.8 0.356 -0.1
6 Miami Heat 53 29 5 4.6 3.3 113.7 113.7 0.379 109.1 110.4 0.339 -0.2
7 Memphis Grizzlies 56 26 4.3 5.6 5.7 114.6 114.7 0.353 109 109 0.349 -0.3
8 Philadelphia 76ers 51 31 4.2 2.7 2.2 113.5 113.4 0.364 110.8 111.2 0.346 0
9 Brooklyn Nets 44 38 3.7 0.8 0.1 113.6 113.5 0.361 112.8 113.4 0.345 0
10 Toronto Raptors 48 34 3.5 2.4 2.3 112.9 112.9 0.349 110.5 110.5 0.354 0.1
11 Cleveland Cavaliers 44 38 3.4 2.2 2.2 111.9 111.8 0.355 109.7 109.6 0.353 -0.1
12 Dallas Mavericks 52 30 2.9 3.4 2.5 112.8 112.9 0.35 109.4 110.4 0.34 -0.2
13 Denver Nuggets 48 34 2.8 2.4 1.8 114.5 114.5 0.353 112.1 112.6 0.346 -0.1
14 Minnesota Timberwolves 46 36 2.8 2.6 2.7 114.3 114.4 0.358 111.7 111.7 0.35 -0.1
15 New Orleans Pelicans 36 46 2.6 -1 -1 112 111.9 0.332 113 112.9 0.365 0.1
16 Atlanta Hawks 43 39 2.6 1.6 1.6 116.5 116.4 0.374 114.9 114.8 0.364 0
17 Charlotte Hornets 43 39 1.4 0.4 0.4 114.1 114.1 0.365 113.7 113.7 0.362 0.1
18 Los Angeles Clippers 42 40 0.7 0 -0.4 110.1 110.1 0.374 110.1 110.5 0.345 0.1
19 San Antonio Spurs 34 48 -1 0.1 -0.1 112.4 112.3 0.352 112.3 112.4 0.36 -0.1
20 Chicago Bulls 46 36 -1 -0.4 -0.2 113.2 113.4 0.369 113.6 113.7 0.366 0
21 New York Knicks 37 45 -1.2 -0.1 -1 110.4 110.4 0.357 110.5 111.4 0.342 0.1
22 Los Angeles Lakers 33 49 -2.1 -3 -3 110.3 110.3 0.347 113.3 113.3 0.352 0
23 Washington Wizards 35 47 -3.5 -3.4 -3.5 111.1 111.1 0.342 114.5 114.6 0.361 0.1
24 Indiana Pacers 25 57 -4.7 -3.5 -3.2 112.6 112.6 0.344 116.1 115.9 0.372 0.2
25 Sacramento Kings 30 52 -5 -5.4 -5.2 109.9 110 0.344 115.3 115.1 0.372 0.2
26 Portland Trail Blazers 27 55 -6.8 -9.1 -8.9 107.8 107.9 0.346 116.9 116.8 0.371 0.3
27 Oklahoma City Thunder 24 58 -6.9 -8.2 -7.4 104.6 105.3 0.323 112.8 112.7 0.353 0.2
28 Detroit Pistons 23 59 -7.2 -7.8 -7.4 106 106.5 0.326 113.8 113.8 0.362 0.3
29 Orlando Magic 22 60 -8.1 -8 -8 104.5 104.5 0.331 112.5 112.5 0.363 0.3
30 Houston Rockets 20 62 -8.7 -8.3 -8.2 108.4 108.5 0.349 116.7 116.7 0.353 0.2

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