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NBA Team Net Ratings

2024-25 Luck Adjusted Net Rating

While there is ample evidence that teams can influence the type and location of shots that their opponents take, there is not a lot of evidence that teams have an influence on the percentage that a team shoots from three. Over the last 4 seasons, 92% of teams have allowed between 34% and 38% on opponent three-point shooting. This season, teams are shooting an average of 37 three-pointers per game. A team allowing their opponents to shoot 30% on these shots would be "saving" an average of ~6 points per game vs a team that was giving up the league average of 36% from three. On the opposite end of the spectrum, we have a team allowing their opponents to shoot a blistering 41% from three, which if we adjust down to 36%, would improve a team's defense by ~5 points per game.

To rectify the issue of opponent hot or cold shooting early in the season, we have adjusted each team's defensive rating to what it would be if that team was allowing opponents to shoot around the league average of 36% from three-point range. We have also added a slight adjustment to each team's offensive net rating to account for poor/good three-point shooting. Any team shooting below 33% from three was rounded up to 33%, while any team shooting greater than 39% was rounded down to 39%. We will remove this adjustment around the 20 game mark.

The chart below shows each team's current offensive, defensive, and net rating (taken from Basketball-Reference), as well as their luck adjusted offensive, defensive and net rating. Also included is each team's strength of schedule (the larger the number the tougher the schedule) and each team's 'Simple Rating', which is just their adjusted net rating minus their strength of schedule.

* last updated 3/19/2025 | updates M-F

#TeamWLSRnetRtgadjNetRtgORtgadjORtgtm3PpctDRtgadjDRtgopp3PpctSOS
1Oklahoma City Thunder561212.312.512.2119.7119.70.366107.2107.50.3370
2Cleveland Cavaliers56129.810.610.7122.3122.30.387111.7111.60.359-1
3Boston Celtics50198.28.78.8120120.10.369111.3111.30.349-0.7
4Memphis Grizzlies43265.55.75.8118.2118.30.367112.5112.50.358-0.4
5Houston Rockets44254.94.64.6114.6114.70.347110110.10.3530.3
6Minnesota Timberwolves40304.44.24115.6115.50.378111.4111.40.3490.4
7New York Knicks43244.34.74.81191190.371114.3114.30.372-0.5
8Denver Nuggets44253.74.44.4120.1120.20.382115.7115.80.364-0.7
9Los Angeles Clippers39303.33.23.1113.7113.80.363110.5110.60.3510.2
10Golden State Warriors40292.72.62.4114.3114.20.362111.7111.70.3590.3
11Detroit Pistons38311.82.22.3114.2114.30.361121120.365-0.5
12Los Angeles Lakers42251.61.61.7115.3115.30.358113.7113.60.349-0.1
13Milwaukee Bucks38301.51.91.9114.6114.60.383112.7112.70.352-0.4
14Sacramento Kings34331.20.91.1116.5116.50.352115.6115.40.3830.1
15Indiana Pacers38290.911.2116.1116.20.369115.1114.90.355-0.3
16Dallas Mavericks33360.4-0.5-0.2115.3115.40.367115.8115.60.3620.6
17Phoenix Suns3237-1.6-1.4-1.5116.5116.50.383117.91180.361-0.1
18Miami Heat2939-1.6-1.8-1.8111.8111.90.358113.6113.60.3590.2
19Orlando Magic3237-1.7-1.5-1.4108.3108.40.311109.8109.70.367-0.3
20Atlanta Hawks3336-2.3-2-2.1113.3113.20.353115.3115.40.373-0.2
21San Antonio Spurs2839-2.7-2.5-2.6114.5114.30.3531171170.363-0.1
22Portland Trail Blazers3039-3.3-3.6-3.6111.5111.50.346115.1115.10.3620.3
23Chicago Bulls2939-3.4-3.1-3.1112.7112.70.363115.8115.80.341-0.3
24Toronto Raptors2445-4.5-5.2-5.2110.6110.70.348115.8115.80.3530.6
25Philadelphia 76ers2345-4.6-5.1-4.9112.4112.50.347117.5117.40.370.3
26Brooklyn Nets2346-6.1-6.3-6.5109.5109.40.346115.8115.90.3650.4
27New Orleans Pelicans1851-8.1-8.7-8.8110.8110.70.346119.5119.50.3660.7
28Utah Jazz1554-8.1-7.5-7.7111.6111.40.353119.1119.10.358-0.3
29Charlotte Hornets1751-8.7-8.2-8.3107.6107.70.338115.81160.353-0.4
30Washington Wizards1552-11-11.6-11.5107107.10.336118.6118.60.3650.5