NBA Team Net Ratings

2023-24 Luck Adjusted Net Rating

While there is ample evidence that teams can influence the type and location of shots that their opponents take, there is not a lot of evidence that teams have an influence on the percentage that a team shoots from three. Over the last 4 seasons, 92% of teams have allowed between 34% and 38% on opponent three-point shooting. This season, teams are shooting an average of 35 three-pointers per game. A team allowing their opponents to shoot 30% on these shots would be "saving" an average of ~6 points per game vs a team that was giving up the league average of 36% from three. On the opposite end of the spectrum, we have a team allowing their opponents to shoot a blistering 41% from three, which if we adjust down to 36%, would improve a team's defense by ~5 points per game.

To rectify the issue of opponent hot or cold shooting early in the season, we have adjusted each team's defensive rating to what it would be if that team was allowing opponents to shoot around the league average of 36% from three-point range. We have also added a slight adjustment to each team's offensive net rating to account for poor/good three-point shooting. Any team shooting below 33% from three was rounded up to 33%, while any team shooting greater than 39% was rounded down to 39%.

The chart below shows each team's current offensive, defensive, and net rating (taken from Basketball-Reference), as well as their luck adjusted offensive, defensive and net rating. Also included is each team's strength of schedule (the larger the number the tougher the schedule) and each team's 'Simple Rating', which is just their adjusted net rating minus their strength of schedule.

* last updated 4/15/2024 | updates weekly

1Boston Celtics641810.911.611.5123.2123.10.388111.6111.60.352-0.6
2Oklahoma City Thunder57257.47.47.4119.5119.50.389112.1112.10.361-0.1
3Minnesota Timberwolves56266.76.66.7115.6115.70.387109108.90.354-0.1
4Denver Nuggets57255.65.55.6118.5118.50.374113112.90.3550
5New York Knicks50324.64.84.8118.2118.10.369113.4113.30.365-0.2
6New Orleans Pelicans49334.64.54.5117.4117.50.383112.91130.3490.1
7Los Angeles Clippers51313.43.43.2118.8118.80.381115.4115.50.3630.1
8Sacramento Kings46363.11.72.5116.9116.90.366115.2114.30.3870.6
9Phoenix Suns49333.133.1117.6117.70.382114.6114.60.3640
10Indiana Pacers47352.7331211210.3741181180.365-0.3
11Philadelphia 76ers47352.73.13.2116.9116.90.363113.8113.70.354-0.5
12Golden State Warriors46362.62.62.4117.8117.70.38115.2115.30.3590.2
13Milwaukee Bucks49332.42.62.6118.4118.40.373115.8115.80.356-0.2
14Dallas Mavericks50322.32.22.2117.6117.70.369115.4115.50.3680.1
15Cleveland Cavaliers48341.92.52.4115.2115.10.367112.7112.70.371-0.4
16Orlando Magic47351.52.12.1113.4113.30.352111.3111.20.358-0.6
17Los Angeles Lakers47351.30.60.8115.91160.377115.3115.30.3760.5
18Houston Rockets41411.31.11.2114.5114.50.352113.4113.40.3480.1
19Miami Heat46361.11.81.81141140.37112.2112.20.353-0.7
20Chicago Bulls3943-1.7-1.4-1.4114.9114.90.358116.3116.30.37-0.3
21Atlanta Hawks3646-1.9-2.2-1.7117.2117.10.364119.4118.90.384-0.2
22Utah Jazz3151-2.5-4.9-3.2115.5115.50.354120.4118.60.3950.7
23Brooklyn Nets3250-2.9-2.9-2.8113.2113.20.362116.1116.10.372-0.1
24San Antonio Spurs2260-5.6-6.4-6.3110110.10.347116.4116.40.3730.7
25Toronto Raptors2557-6.4-6.5-6.4112.3112.40.347118.8118.70.3760
26Memphis Grizzlies2755-6.6-7.1-7.1107.2107.30.346114.3114.30.3780.4
27Portland Trail Blazers2161-8.6-9.2-9.3108.3108.30.345117.5117.60.3510.7
28Washington Wizards1567-9.1-9.1-9.1110.5110.40.348119.6119.50.3620
29Detroit Pistons1468-9.2-9.1-9.2109.7109.70.348118.8118.90.370.1
30Charlotte Hornets2161-10.3-10.5-10.4109.3109.50.355119.8119.90.3770.1

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