Oklahoma City Thunder

Franchise
Elite
All-Star
Starter
Rotation

Name	Pos	Age	Games	MPG	O Role	D Role	CraftedPM	WARP	Pts	Reb	AST	Stl	Blk
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	PG	22	35	33.7	Primary Ballhandler	Off Ball Wing	0.99 79%	2.25	23.7	4.7	5.9	0.8	0.7
Al Horford	C	34	28	27.9	Versatile Big	Hang Back Big	1.89 91%	1.85	14.2	6.7	3.4	0.9	0.9
Kenrich Williams	SF	26	66	21.6	Spotup Wing	Off Ball Wing	-0.27 60%	1.81	8	4.1	2.3	0.8	0.3
Luguentz Dort	SG	21	52	29.7	Spotup Wing	On Ball Stopper	-0.56 54%	1.73	14	3.6	1.7	0.9	0.4
Tony Bradley	C	23	42	16.3	Roll/Cut Big	Hang Back Big	1.09 81%	1.34	7.1	5.7	0.9	0.4	0.7
Mike Muscala	C	29	35	18.4	Tall Spotup	Hang Back Big	0.89 79%	1.2	9.7	3.8	0.8	0.2	0.3
Svi Mykhailiuk	SG	23	66	20.1	Runaround Wing	Hidden	-1.58 35%	0.79	8.5	2.5	1.7	0.8	0.2
Austin Rivers	SG	28	36	23.5	Secondary Ballhandler	On Ball Stopper	-1.1 42%	0.71	7.9	2.3	2.3	0.8	0.1
Ty Jerome	SG	23	33	23.9		FALSE	-1.15 40%	0.64	10.7	2.8	3.6	0.6	0.2
Moses Brown	C	21	43	21.4		FALSE	-1.74 30%	0.47	8.6	8.9	0.2	0.7	1.1
Darius Bazley	SF	20	55	31.2	Spotup Wing	Versatile Big	-2.34 19%	0.36	13.7	7.2	1.8	0.5	0.5
Justin Jackson	SF	25	34	17	Spotup Wing	Hidden	-1.74 31%	0.3	7.2	2.3	1.5	0.4	0.1
Isaiah Roby	PF	22	61	23.4	Pick n Pop Big	Hang Back Big	-2.43 18%	0.23	8.7	5.6	1.8	0.9	0.6
Darius Miller	SG	30	18	10.9		Hidden	-2.1 24%	0.07	4.1	1.3	1.2	0.7	0.3
Gabriel Deck	PF	25	10	21.2			-2.59 14%	0.02	8.4	4	2.4	0.8	0
Meyers Leonard	C	28	3	9.8		FALSE	-2.5 16%	0	3.3	2.3	0.7	0	0
Josh Hall	SF	20	21	16		FALSE	-3.99 2%	-0.21	4.1	2.8	1.3	0.2	0
Aleksej Pokusevski	PF	19	45	24.2	Spotup Wing	Hidden	-4.2 1%	-0.81	8.2	4.7	2.2	0.4	0.9
Theo Maledon	PG	19	65	27.3	Spotup Wing	Off Ball Wing	-4.13 1%	-1.26	10.1	3.2	3.5	0.9	0.2

Projected Net Rating/100

-3.2

Lineup Synergy Rating

4.0

Name	Pos	Age	Games	Minutes	Points	Rebounds	Assists	Steals	Blocks	VersatilityRating	CraftedDPM
Darius Bazley	SF	20	55	31.2	13.7	7.2	1.8	0.5	0.5	78	0.1 57%
Kenrich Williams	SF	26	66	21.6	8	4.1	2.3	0.8	0.3	76	0.19 60%
Luguentz Dort	SG	21	52	29.7	14	3.6	1.7	0.9	0.4	56	0.66 74%
Austin Rivers	SG	28	36	23.5	7.9	2.3	2.3	0.8	0.1	43	-0.53 29%
Tony Bradley	C	23	42	16.3	7.1	5.7	0.9	0.4	0.7	31	0.84 80%

Each team's projected most versatile 5 man lineup, their projected net rating per 100 possessions, and the lineups synergy rating.

Short Story:

Remove the least versatile defenders, unless they happen to be a superstar.
Remove the horrible defenders, unless they happen to be a superstar.
Spit out the four best defenders of the remaining PG's, SG's and SF's.
Spit out the two most versatile defenders among the remaining PF's and Centers.
Spit out the 5 best defenders among the remaining 6 players.

This weeds out the defenders who would likely be exposed in a playoff matchup as well as the least switchable players (think Trey Burke/Greg Monroe). The idea was to find the best/most versatile lineup for those tough playoff matchups.

*Some teams may not have 5 players meet these qualification. These teams are usually garbage, or they have a position of great weakness and therefore did not have 5 players qualify.

Versatility Rating comes from a project put together by both Krishna Narsu and Patrick Miller of Nylon Calculus. A quick, concise explanation of Versatility Rating (higher is better) can be found on the glossary page.

Projected Net Rating/100

0.9

Lineup Synergy Rating

5.7

Name	Pos	Age	Games	Minutes	Points	Rebounds	Assists	Steals	Blocks	CraftedPM
Al Horford	C	34	28	27.9	14.2	6.7	3.4	0.9	0.9	1.89 91%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	PG	22	35	33.7	23.7	4.7	5.9	0.8	0.7	0.99 79%
Kenrich Williams	SF	26	66	21.6	8	4.1	2.3	0.8	0.3	-0.27 60%
Luguentz Dort	SG	21	52	29.7	14	3.6	1.7	0.9	0.4	-0.56 54%
Austin Rivers	SG	28	36	23.5	7.9	2.3	2.3	0.8	0.1	-1.1 42%

Esimated Win Total*

47.0

Name	Age	Games	Minutes	Points	Rebounds	Assists	Steals	Blocks	CraftedPM	CraftedPeakPM	PeakWAR
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	22	35	33.7	23.7	4.7	5.9	0.8	0.7	0.99 79%	2.33	5.2
Theo Maledon	19	65	27.3	10.1	3.2	3.5	0.9	0.2	-4.13 1%	1.76	4.5
Luguentz Dort	21	52	29.7	14	3.6	1.7	0.9	0.4	-0.56 54%	1.7	4.4
Aleksej Pokusevski	19	45	24.2	8.2	4.7	2.2	0.4	0.9	-4.2 1%	1.28	3.9
Tony Bradley	23	42	16.3	7.1	5.7	0.9	0.4	0.7	1.09 81%	1.11	3

Young Core - players must be 26 or younger with a PeakWAR > 1 to qualify. Win Shares come from FiveThirtyEight's CARMELO Projections. Projections go out to 2025 and take each players peak projected season.

* Estimated Win Total - This is a crude estimate based upon adding these players to a team with slightly below average talent (a 26 win team). We came to this number by taking an average team's minutes distribution, making their three highest minute players replacement level (using -2.5 plus minus as replacement level), and filling out the roster with a group of average (~ -.5 plus minus) players. We then ran this roster through a simulated NBA schedule 100 times, and came out with about 26 wins.

The idea being that the players from the Young Core replace the minutes played by the replacement level players from the 26 win team.

*The Wins Above Replacement player projections come from our player projections, and update periodically throughout the season. While a player like Jayson Tatum is listed at a 9.1 peak WAR, this is what we consider his most likely outcome. It is just as possible that he goes over that 9.1 as he goes under.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Stats & Analytics

Roster Talent Level

Lottery Bound

Roster

Versatile

Closers

Young Core

Projected Net Rating/100

-3.2

Lineup Synergy Rating

4.0

Projected Net Rating/100

0.9

Lineup Synergy Rating

5.7

Esimated Win Total*

47.0

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