Oklahoma City Thunder

Franchise
Elite
All-Star
Starter
Rotation

Name	Pos	Age	GP	MPG	Pts	Reb	AST	Stl	Blk	CraftedOPM	CraftedDPM	CraftedPM
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	PG	23	56	34.7	24.5	5	5.9	1.3	0.8	3.16	-0.74	2.43
Luguentz Dort	SG	22	51	32.7	17.2	4.2	1.7	0.9	0.4	-1.23	0	-1.23
Josh Giddey	SF	19	54	31.5	12.5	7.8	6.4	0.9	0.4	-1.61	0.06	-1.55
Aleksej Pokusevski	PF	20	61	20.2	7.6	5.2	2.1	0.6	0.6	-2.44	0.4	-2.04
Darius Bazley	SF	21	69	27.9	10.8	6.3	1.4	0.8	1	-2.72	-0.43	-3.15
Theo Maledon	PG	20	51	17.8	7.1	2.6	2.2	0.6	0.2	-2.85	-0.99	-3.84
Derrick Favors	C	30	39	16.7	5.3	4.7	0.6	0.4	0.3	-2.57	1.71	-0.86
Kenrich Williams	SF	27	49	21.9	7.4	4.5	2.2	0.9	0.2	-1.06	1.89	0.83
Mike Muscala	C	30	43	13.8	8	3	0.5	0.4	0.6	1.39	1.57	2.97
Ty Jerome	SG	24	48	16.7	7.1	1.6	2.3	0.6	0.1	-1.25	-0.4	-1.65
Tre Mann	PG	20	60	22.8	10.4	2.9	1.5	0.8	0.2	-2.25	-1.59	-3.84
Vit Krejci	SG	21	30	23	6.2	3.4	1.9	0.6	0.3	-2.43	-0.44	-2.87
Isaiah Roby	PF	23	45	21.1	10.1	4.8	1.6	0.8	0.8	-1.21	-0.24	-1.45
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	SF	21	49	22.2	7.5	5.6	1	0.6	0.3	-2.3	-0.22	-2.52
Aaron Wiggins	SG	23	50	24.2	8.3	3.6	1.4	0.6	0.2	-2.05	-0.92	-2.97

Projected Net Rating/100

3.5

Lineup Synergy Rating

5.4

Name	Pos	Age	Games	Minutes	Points	Rebounds	Assists	Steals	Blocks	VersatilityRating	CraftedDPM
Kenrich Williams	SF	27	49	21.9	7.4	4.5	2.2	0.9	0.2	83	1.89 93%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	PG	23	56	34.7	24.5	5	5.9	1.3	0.8	75	-0.74 23%
Luguentz Dort	SG	22	51	32.7	17.2	4.2	1.7	0.9	0.4	52	0 54%
Josh Giddey	SF	19	54	31.5	12.5	7.8	6.4	0.9	0.4	43	0.06 55%
Mike Muscala	C	30	43	13.8	8	3	0.5	0.4	0.6	18	1.57 88%

Each team's projected most versatile 5 man lineup, their projected net rating per 100 possessions, and the lineups synergy rating.

Short Story:

Remove the least versatile defenders, unless they happen to be a superstar.
Remove the horrible defenders, unless they happen to be a superstar.
Spit out the four best defenders of the remaining PG's, SG's and SF's.
Spit out the two most versatile defenders among the remaining PF's and Centers.
Spit out the 5 best defenders among the remaining 6 players.

This weeds out the defenders who would likely be exposed in a playoff matchup as well as the least switchable players (think Trey Burke/Greg Monroe). The idea was to find the best/most versatile lineup for those tough playoff matchups.

*Some teams may not have 5 players meet these qualification. These teams are usually garbage, or they have a position of great weakness and therefore did not have 5 players qualify.

Versatility Rating comes from a project put together by both Krishna Narsu and Patrick Miller of Nylon Calculus. A quick, concise explanation of Versatility Rating (higher is better) can be found on the glossary page.

Projected Net Rating/100

4.1

Lineup Synergy Rating

6.1

Name	Pos	Age	Games	Minutes	Points	Rebounds	Assists	Steals	Blocks	CraftedPM
Mike Muscala	C	30	43	13.8	8	3	0.5	0.4	0.6	2.97 93%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	PG	23	56	34.7	24.5	5	5.9	1.3	0.8	2.43 89%
Kenrich Williams	SF	27	49	21.9	7.4	4.5	2.2	0.9	0.2	0.83 74%
Luguentz Dort	SG	22	51	32.7	17.2	4.2	1.7	0.9	0.4	-1.23 43%
Isaiah Roby	PF	23	45	21.1	10.1	4.8	1.6	0.8	0.8	-1.45 38%

Esimated Win Total*

47.8

Name	Age	Games	Minutes	Points	Rebounds	Assists	Steals	Blocks	CraftedPM	CraftedPeakPM	PeakWAR
Josh Giddey	19	54	31.5	12.5	7.8	6.4	0.9	0.4	-1.55 36%	3.75	8
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	23	56	34.7	24.5	5	5.9	1.3	0.8	2.43 89%	2.95	6
Luguentz Dort	22	51	32.7	17.2	4.2	1.7	0.9	0.4	-1.23 43%	0.75	2.9
Vit Krejci	21	30	23	6.2	3.4	1.9	0.6	0.3	-2.87 12%	0.28	2.5
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	21	49	22.2	7.5	5.6	1	0.6	0.3	-2.52 17%	0.26	2.4

Young Core - players must be 26 or younger with a PeakWAR > 1 to qualify. Win Shares come from FiveThirtyEight's CARMELO Projections. Projections go out to 2025 and take each players peak projected season.

* Estimated Win Total - This is a crude estimate based upon adding these players to a team with slightly below average talent (a 26 win team). We came to this number by taking an average team's minutes distribution, making their three highest minute players replacement level (using -2.5 plus minus as replacement level), and filling out the roster with a group of average (~ -.5 plus minus) players. We then ran this roster through a simulated NBA schedule 100 times, and came out with about 26 wins.

The idea being that the players from the Young Core replace the minutes played by the replacement level players from the 26 win team.

*The Wins Above Replacement player projections come from our player projections, and update periodically throughout the season. While a player like Jayson Tatum is listed at a 9.1 peak WAR, this is what we consider his most likely outcome. It is just as possible that he goes over that 9.1 as he goes under.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Stats & Analytics

Roster Talent Level

Playoff Early Exit

Roster

Versatile

Closers

Young Core

Projected Net Rating/100

3.5

Lineup Synergy Rating

5.4

Projected Net Rating/100

4.1

Lineup Synergy Rating

6.1

Esimated Win Total*

47.8

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