Denver Nuggets

Franchise
Elite
All-Star
Starter
Rotation

Name	Pos	Age	GP	MPG	Pts	Reb	AST	Stl	Blk	CraftedOPM	CraftedDPM	CraftedPM
Nikola Jokic	C	26	40	1327	26.1	13.8	7.6	1.4	0.8	7.02	2.6	9.62
Aaron Gordon	PF	26	42	1343	14.4	5.6	2.5	0.7	0.6	1.13	-0.16	0.97
Michael Porter Jr.	PF	23	9	265	9.9	6.6	1.9	1.1	0.2	-0.54	1.23	0.69
Will Barton	SG	31	40	1306	15.3	4.8	4.2	0.8	0.5	0.48	-0.18	0.31
Monte Morris	PG	26	42	1260	12.6	2.8	4.1	0.7	0.1	1.19	-0.64	0.54
Jeff Green	PF	35	41	1032	10.7	3.2	1.3	0.3	0.5	-1.29	-0.92	-2.21
JaMychal Green	PF	31	35	523	5.7	3.7	0.8	0.7	0.5	-2.14	0.3	-1.84
Austin Rivers	SG	29	32	662	5.8	1.7	1.1	0.5	0.1	-1.84	-1.53	-3.38
P.J. Dozier	SF	25	18	340	5.4	3.5	1.6	0.6	0.3	-0.5	0.7	0.2
Facundo Campazzo	PG	30	43	960	6.5	2.1	4	1.2	0.4	-1.46	0.03	-1.43
Bones Hyland	PG	21	34	600	8.5	2.5	1.7	0.5	0.3	-0.76	-0.73	-1.5
Bol Bol	C	22	11	81	2.4	1.4	0.4	0.1	0.1	-2.59	-0.28	-2.87
Vlatko Cancar	PF	24	13	152	4.3	1.6	0.9	0.1	0.2	-1.84	-0.42	-2.27
Zeke Nnaji	PF	21	26	434	6.3	3.3	0.3	0.2	0.3	-1.04	-1.31	-2.36
Markus Howard	SG	22	9	118	4.2	0.3	0.3	0.4	0	-1.66	-0.97	-2.63
Davon Reed	SG	26	17	310	4.5	2.8	1.2	0.8	0.2	-2.56	0.16	-2.4
Jamal Murray	PG	24								2.7	0	2.7

Projected Net Rating/100

2.5

Lineup Synergy Rating

3.7

Name	Pos	Age	Games	Minutes	Points	Rebounds	Assists	Steals	Blocks	VersatilityRating	CraftedDPM
Aaron Gordon	PF	26	42	1343	14.4	5.6	2.5	0.7	0.6	92	-0.16 49%
Will Barton	SG	31	40	1306	15.3	4.8	4.2	0.8	0.5	54	-0.18 47%
Monte Morris	PG	26	42	1260	12.6	2.8	4.1	0.7	0.1	31	-0.64 26%
Michael Porter Jr.	PF	23	9	265	9.9	6.6	1.9	1.1	0.2	21	1.23 85%

Each team's projected most versatile 5 man lineup, their projected net rating per 100 possessions, and the lineups synergy rating.

Short Story:

Remove the least versatile defenders, unless they happen to be a superstar.
Remove the horrible defenders, unless they happen to be a superstar.
Spit out the four best defenders of the remaining PG's, SG's and SF's.
Spit out the two most versatile defenders among the remaining PF's and Centers.
Spit out the 5 best defenders among the remaining 6 players.

This weeds out the defenders who would likely be exposed in a playoff matchup as well as the least switchable players (think Trey Burke/Greg Monroe). The idea was to find the best/most versatile lineup for those tough playoff matchups.

*Some teams may not have 5 players meet these qualification. These teams are usually garbage, or they have a position of great weakness and therefore did not have 5 players qualify.

Versatility Rating comes from a project put together by both Krishna Narsu and Patrick Miller of Nylon Calculus. A quick, concise explanation of Versatility Rating (higher is better) can be found on the glossary page.

Projected Net Rating/100

14.1

Lineup Synergy Rating

1.7

Name	Pos	Age	Games	Minutes	Points	Rebounds	Assists	Steals	Blocks	CraftedPM
Nikola Jokic	C	26	40	1327	26.1	13.8	7.6	1.4	0.8	9.62 100%
Jamal Murray	PG	24								2.7 92%
Aaron Gordon	PF	26	42	1343	14.4	5.6	2.5	0.7	0.6	0.97 77%
Monte Morris	PG	26	42	1260	12.6	2.8	4.1	0.7	0.1	0.54 71%
Will Barton	SG	31	40	1306	15.3	4.8	4.2	0.8	0.5	0.31 68%

Esimated Win Total*

38.9

Name	Age	Games	Minutes	Points	Rebounds	Assists	Steals	Blocks	CraftedPM	CraftedPeakPM	PeakWAR
Michael Porter Jr.	23	9	265	9.9	6.6	1.9	1.1	0.2	0.69 73%	3	6
Bones Hyland	21	34	600	8.5	2.5	1.7	0.5	0.3	-1.5 40%	1.34	3.4
P.J. Dozier	25	18	340	5.4	3.5	1.6	0.6	0.3	0.2 66%	0.5	2.7
Zeke Nnaji	21	26	434	6.3	3.3	0.3	0.2	0.3	-2.36 22%	-1.15	0.7
Vlatko Cancar	24	13	152	4.3	1.6	0.9	0.1	0.2	-2.27 25%	-2.22	0.1

Young Core - players must be 26 or younger with a PeakWAR > 1 to qualify. Win Shares come from FiveThirtyEight's CARMELO Projections. Projections go out to 2025 and take each players peak projected season.

* Estimated Win Total - This is a crude estimate based upon adding these players to a team with slightly below average talent (a 26 win team). We came to this number by taking an average team's minutes distribution, making their three highest minute players replacement level (using -2.5 plus minus as replacement level), and filling out the roster with a group of average (~ -.5 plus minus) players. We then ran this roster through a simulated NBA schedule 100 times, and came out with about 26 wins.

The idea being that the players from the Young Core replace the minutes played by the replacement level players from the 26 win team.

*The Wins Above Replacement player projections come from our player projections, and update periodically throughout the season. While a player like Jayson Tatum is listed at a 9.1 peak WAR, this is what we consider his most likely outcome. It is just as possible that he goes over that 9.1 as he goes under.

Denver Nuggets

Stats & Analytics

Roster Talent Level

Playoff Lock

Roster

Versatile

Closers

Young Core

Projected Net Rating/100

2.5

Lineup Synergy Rating

3.7

Projected Net Rating/100

14.1

Lineup Synergy Rating

1.7

Esimated Win Total*

38.9

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