2026 Rookie IPO

20 draft prospects are now on the market.

Buy shares →

NBA Strength of Schedule Analysis

Click any team to load its detailed schedule, timing luck, and missing players.

Last updated 6/11/2026

Toughest Schedule (So Far)

Dallas Mavericks

+0.45

vs average schedule (0.00 baseline)

Easiest Schedule (So Far)

Detroit Pistons

-0.51

vs average schedule (0.00 baseline)

Toughest Remaining Schedule

New York Knicks

+0.70

0 remaining games

#TeamGPSOS Δ (Past)SOS Δ (Rest)Next 14dLuckRaw NRtgProj StrengthAdj NRtg
1Dallas Mavericks82+0.45-5.14-3.78+0.27-5.2-3.3-4.7
2Sacramento Kings82+0.40-5.14-3.78+0.07-9.7-5.1-9.3
3San Antonio Spurs82+0.39-0.70-0.10+0.288.43.98.8
4New York Knicks82+0.35+0.70+0.10+0.596.43.76.8
5New Orleans Pelicans82+0.32-5.14-3.78+0.11-4.4-2.4-4.1
6Golden State Warriors82+0.31-5.14-3.78+0.18-0.51.6-0.2
7LA Clippers82+0.30-5.14-3.78+0.371.12.11.4
8Miami Heat82+0.30-5.14-3.78+0.312.11.02.4
9Houston Rockets82+0.28-5.14-3.78+0.505.43.95.7
10Los Angeles Lakers82+0.25-5.14-3.78+0.261.52.11.7
11Orlando Magic82+0.23-5.14-3.78+0.230.61.10.8
12Phoenix Suns82+0.22-5.14-3.78-0.061.41.21.6
13Minnesota Timberwolves82+0.20-5.14-3.78+0.343.13.23.3
14Denver Nuggets82+0.05-5.14-3.78+0.055.22.55.2
15Memphis Grizzlies82-0.04-5.14-3.78-0.20-6.0-3.4-6.0
16Boston Celtics82-0.10-5.14-3.78+0.198.35.08.2
17Indiana Pacers82-0.10-5.14-3.78-0.22-7.8-3.7-7.9
18Portland Trail Blazers82-0.11-5.14-3.78-0.21-0.40.1-0.5
19Charlotte Hornets82-0.14-5.14-3.78+0.044.91.34.8
20Utah Jazz82-0.16-5.14-3.78-0.47-8.2-4.5-8.4
21Toronto Raptors82-0.16-5.14-3.78-0.052.91.62.7
22Atlanta Hawks82-0.19-5.14-3.78-0.112.21.12.0
23Oklahoma City Thunder82-0.24-5.14-3.78-0.1911.17.510.9
24Chicago Bulls82-0.24-5.14-3.78-0.25-5.3-2.9-5.5
25Philadelphia 76ers82-0.27-5.14-3.78-0.19-0.1-0.5-0.4
26Milwaukee Bucks82-0.40-5.14-3.78-0.38-6.1-3.4-6.5
27Brooklyn Nets82-0.45-5.14-3.78-0.54-10.0-5.6-10.4
28Washington Wizards82-0.45-5.14-3.78-0.58-11.8-6.4-12.3
29Cleveland Cavaliers82-0.50-5.14-3.78-0.184.13.43.6
30Detroit Pistons82-0.51-5.14-3.78-0.168.43.47.9
Understanding the metrics

How to read this page

  1. Select any team in the table to load their game-by-game schedule.
  2. Compare Raw NRtg (actual results) to Proj Strength (projected net rating for the players who actually logged minutes).
  3. Adj NRtg = Raw NRtg + SOS Δ. It shows how much the schedule has boosted or dragged performance.

Column guide

  • SOS Δ (Past): Schedule difficulty so far, relative to average (0 = average).
  • SOS Δ (Rest): Remaining schedule difficulty relative to average, using a rotation-aware blend of projected team strength, adjusted net rating, and raw net rating with venue/rest adjustments.
  • Next 14d: Short-term schedule difficulty for the next two weeks.
  • Raw NRtg: Actual net rating per 100 possessions.
  • Proj Strength: Average projected net rating built from CraftedPM × minutes for the players who actually played, with venue/rest adjustments.

Why two ratings?

Proj Strength captures what the team should look like based on the actual rotation it put on the floor, while Adj NRtg shows how they performed after accounting for schedule difficulty. The gap surfaces teams that are thriving or lagging relative to their available talent.

How we calculate SOS

Inputs
  • Player minutes × CraftedPM values
  • Home court advantage (±0.85)
  • Altitude effects (DEN +0.9, UTA +0.8)
  • Back-to-back penalties (-1.5 home, -2.0 away)
Interpretation

Positive SOS Δ: Tougher opponents. Results are understated.

Negative SOS Δ: Easier slate. Results are inflated.

Future SOS

Remaining schedule uses each team's season-average strength, adjusted for venue and rest. This projects difficulty more accurately than raw win-loss records.

Boston Celtics Schedule Analysis

Tracking game-time opponent strength, season-long context, and which rotation players sat out. Click a different team above to update this view.

Past Schedule Difficulty
-0.10
82 games played
Remaining Schedule
-5.14
0 games remaining
Next 14 Days
-3.78
0 games
Adjusted Net Rating
8.2
Raw NRtg: 8.3 | Shift: -0.10
Luck Index
+0.19
Unlucky

Schedule Detail

Game-by-Game Opponent Analysis

DateOpponentLocation Opp Strength (Game) Opp Strength (Season) Luck Factor Missing Players Result
10/22Philadelphia 76ersHome0.3-0.5+0.7-
10/24New York KnicksAway5.43.7+1.7-
10/26Detroit PistonsAway6.33.4+2.9LeVert
10/27New Orleans PelicansAway-2.4-2.4+0.0Williamson
10/29Cleveland CavaliersHome2.43.4-1.1Merrill
10/31Philadelphia 76ersAway1.7-0.5+2.1Barlow
11/1Houston RocketsHome2.53.9-1.4-
11/3Utah JazzHome-4.8-4.5-0.2Anderson, Kessler, Sensabaugh, Williams
11/5Washington WizardsHome-6.4-6.4+0.0Cooper, Gill, Middleton, Watkins
11/7Orlando MagicAway4.61.1+3.6-
11/9Orlando MagicAway4.81.1+3.7-
11/11Philadelphia 76ersAway-1.4-0.5-0.9Barlow, Embiid
11/12Memphis GrizzliesHome-5.3-3.4-1.9Morant, Small
11/16LA ClippersHome0.42.1-1.7Beal, Leonard
11/18Brooklyn NetsAway-2.9-5.6+2.7Saraf, Thomas
11/21Brooklyn NetsHome-4.4-5.6+1.2Saraf, Thomas, Traore, Wolf
11/23Orlando MagicHome-5.11.1-6.2Banchero, Carter, Suggs
11/26Detroit PistonsHome3.43.4+0.0-
11/29Minnesota TimberwolvesAway4.83.2+1.6Hyland
11/30Cleveland CavaliersAway5.13.4+1.6Allen, Ball, Merrill
12/2New York KnicksHome3.43.7-0.3Anunoby, Shamet
12/4Washington WizardsAway-4.0-6.4+2.4Cooper, Coulibaly, Johnson, Kispert, Sarr
12/5Los Angeles LakersHome-6.82.1-8.9Dončić, James, Smart, Vanderbilt
12/7Toronto RaptorsAway3.41.6+1.8Barrett
12/11Milwaukee BucksAway-3.8-3.4-0.4Antetokounmpo, Green, Prince
12/15Detroit PistonsHome3.43.4-0.1-
12/19Miami HeatHome-2.01.0-3.0Herro, Jović, Larsson, Mitchell, Wiggins
12/20Toronto RaptorsAway2.31.6+0.7Barrett, Poeltl
12/22Indiana PacersHome-4.1-3.7-0.4McConnell, Nesmith, Robinson-Earl, Sheppard, Toppin
12/26Indiana PacersAway-2.6-3.7+1.1Jackson, Nesmith, Robinson-Earl, Sheppard, Toppin
12/28Portland Trail BlazersAway0.60.1+0.5Grant, Holiday, Thybulle, Williams
12/30Utah JazzAway-1.2-4.5+3.3Anderson, Bailey, Harkless, Kessler, Love, Mykhailiuk
1/1Sacramento KingsAway-3.5-5.1+1.7Cardwell, Carter, LaVine, Plowden, Sabonis
1/3LA ClippersAway5.62.1+3.5Beal, Bogdanović
1/5Chicago BullsHome-3.4-2.9-0.5Collins, Giddey, Smith
1/7Denver NuggetsHome-1.62.5-4.1Johnson, Jokić
1/9Toronto RaptorsHome-1.41.6-2.9Barnes, Ingram, Poeltl
1/10San Antonio SpursHome4.83.9+0.9Vassell
1/12Indiana PacersAway-0.6-3.7+3.1Jackson, Jones, Mathurin, Robinson-Earl, Thompson, Toppin
1/15Miami HeatAway2.91.0+2.0Jaquez, Mitchell
1/17Atlanta HawksAway1.21.1+0.1Daniels, Porziņģis, Risacher, Young
1/19Detroit PistonsAway5.83.4+2.3Jenkins
1/21Indiana PacersHome-2.7-3.7+0.9Mathurin, Robinson-Earl, Thompson, Toppin
1/23Brooklyn NetsAway-3.0-5.6+2.5Mann, Martin, Saraf
1/24Chicago BullsAway-0.3-2.9+2.5Collins, Jones
1/26Portland Trail BlazersHome-1.60.1-1.7Avdija, Murray, Thybulle
1/28Atlanta HawksHome1.11.1-0.1Porziņģis, Risacher, Young
1/30Sacramento KingsHome-7.4-5.1-2.3Murray, Sabonis, Westbrook
2/1Milwaukee BucksHome-5.8-3.4-2.4Antetokounmpo, Porter, Prince
2/3Dallas MavericksAway-3.0-3.3+0.2Davis, Lively, Russell, Washington, Williams
2/4Houston RocketsAway4.23.9+0.3Adams, Finney-Smith
2/6Miami HeatHome1.01.0+0.0Herro, Jakučionis
2/8New York KnicksHome1.83.7-1.8Anunoby, McBride
2/11Chicago BullsHome-7.6-2.9-4.8Collins, Dosunmu, Giddey, Huerter, Jones, Okoro, Smith, Vučević, White
2/19Golden State WarriorsAway2.61.6+1.0Butler, Cryer, Curry, Hield, Kuminga, Post
2/22Los Angeles LakersAway5.42.1+3.3Vincent
2/24Phoenix SunsAway0.31.2-0.9Booker, Brooks, Goodwin
2/25Denver NuggetsAway3.12.5+0.5Gordon, Pickett, Watson
2/27Brooklyn NetsHome-6.7-5.6-1.1Martin, Powell, Thomas
3/1Philadelphia 76ersHome-1.2-0.5-0.8Embiid, George, McCain
3/2Milwaukee BucksAway-1.4-3.4+2.0Kuzma, Prince
3/4Charlotte HornetsHome-0.61.3-1.9Sexton, Williams
3/6Dallas MavericksHome-6.8-3.3-3.6Bagley, Davis, Gafford, Jones, Lively, Poulakidas, Russell
3/8Cleveland CavaliersAway6.43.4+2.9Allen, Ball, Garland, Hunter
3/10San Antonio SpursAway7.43.9+3.6Barnes
3/12Oklahoma City ThunderAway10.57.5+3.0Hartenstein, Williams
3/14Washington WizardsHome-6.2-6.4+0.2Bagley, Black, George, Kispert, McCollum, Middleton, Reese, Richmond, Whitmore, Williams
3/16Phoenix SunsHome1.11.2-0.1Brooks, Dunn, Williams
3/18Golden State WarriorsHome0.11.6-1.5Butler, Cryer, Curry, Hield, Horford, Kuminga, Moody
3/20Memphis GrizzliesAway-3.7-3.4-0.3Aldama, Anderson, Caldwell-Pope, Coward, Edey, Jackson, Jackson, Koloko, Landale, Lovering, Mashack, Morant, Pippen, Rupert, Williams
3/22Minnesota TimberwolvesHome1.63.2-1.6Conley, Edwards
3/25Oklahoma City ThunderHome9.77.5+2.2Wiggins
3/27Atlanta HawksHome1.31.1+0.2Kennard, Krejčí, Landale, Porziņģis, Young
3/29Charlotte HornetsAway1.71.3+0.4Sexton, Williams
3/30Atlanta HawksAway3.11.1+1.9Kennard, Kispert, Krejčí, Landale, Porziņģis, Young
4/1Miami HeatAway3.31.0+2.3Jakučionis, Jović, Powell
4/3Milwaukee BucksAway-5.8-3.4-2.5Antetokounmpo, Porter, Portis, Rollins, Thomas, Trent
4/5Toronto RaptorsHome1.31.6-0.3Quickley
4/7Charlotte HornetsHome3.11.3+1.8Sexton, White
4/9New York KnicksAway6.83.7+3.2Alvarado
4/10New Orleans PelicansHome-7.6-2.4-5.2Alvarado, Bey, Jones, Jordan, McGowens, Missi, Murphy, Murray, Williamson
4/12Orlando MagicHome2.31.1+1.3-
Averages: 0.185-0.001+0.185

📖 Understanding the Data

Opponent Strength (Game)

How strong the opponent was at game time, including adjustments for home court, altitude, and back-to-backs.

Opponent Strength (Season)

The opponent's current season average strength across all games.

Luck Factor

Negative (Green): Lucky - caught them when weaker

Positive (Red): Unlucky - caught them when stronger

Missing Players

Key rotation players (24+ MPG) who sat out, with their CraftedPM impact shown. Higher values = bigger impact.

Boston Celtics Overall Luck Index: +0.185- Unlucky - Opponents somewhat stronger when played

Sign up for our newsletter

Be the first to know about new features, upcoming releases and exclusive insights.

We care about the protection of your data.
We will never sell your information.

CraftedNBA Logo

More from Crafted

Follow Along:Twitter Logo
© CraftedNBA, 2025