A crude estimation of a team's talent level as it relates to how they should be expected to perform with the current roster. Note that this does not take coaching or player synergy into account, but is strictly a look at the talent on the team. We have based this upon an article written by Seth Partnow for The Athletic where he examined ~10 years of team performance in terms of its relation to their talent level. Players are split up into tiers ranging from Franchise players at the top end to Bench players at the bottom end. A team's quality will thus depend on the mix of players it has in each of the various tiers.

The four tiers that teams will fall into are Title Contender, Playoff Lock, Playoff Early Exit, and Lottery Bound.

Franchise
Elite
All-Star
Starter
Rotation

All Teams

Roster
Versatile
Closers
Young Core

Name	Pos	Age	GP	MPG	Pts	Reb	AST	Stl	Blk	CraftedOPM	CraftedDPM	CraftedPM
Andrew Wiggins	SF	26	73	31.9	17.2	4.5	2.2	1	0.7	-0.08	1.04	0.96
Stephen Curry	PG	33	64	34.5	25.5	5.2	6.3	1.3	0.4	5.66	0.44	6.1
Draymond Green	PF	31	46	28.9	7.5	7.3	7	1.3	1.1	-1.42	3.99	2.57
Klay Thompson	SG	31	32	29.4	20.4	3.9	2.8	0.5	0.5	1.42	-0.21	1.21
Jordan Poole	SG	22	76	30	18.5	3.4	4	0.8	0.3	1.79	-0.63	1.16
Otto Porter Jr.	SF	28	63	22.2	8.2	5.7	1.5	1.1	0.5	0.74	1.73	2.47
Andre Iguodala	SF	38	31	19.4	4	3.2	3.7	0.9	0.7	-1.34	2.61	1.28
James Wiseman	C	20								-4.3	-0.4	-4.7
Damion Lee	SG	29	63	19.9	7.4	3.2	1	0.6	0.1	-1.25	0.19	-1.06
Juan Toscano-Anderson	SF	28	73	13.6	4.1	2.4	1.7	0.7	0.2	-1.89	0.95	-0.94
Kevon Looney	C	25	82	21.1	6	7.3	2	0.6	0.6	-0.67	1.94	1.27
Nemanja Bjelica	PF	33	71	16.1	6.1	4.1	2.2	0.6	0.4	-1	0.89	-0.11
Moses Moody	SG	19	52	11.7	4.4	1.5	0.4	0.1	0.2	-1.79	-0.67	-2.46
Jonathan Kuminga	SF	19	70	16.9	9.3	3.3	0.9	0.4	0.3	-0.96	-1.03	-1.99
Chris Chiozza	PG	26	34	10.9	2	1.1	1.9	0.4	0	-2.76	-0.03	-2.78
Gary Payton II	PG	29	71	17.6	7.1	3.5	0.9	1.4	0.3	0.35	2.03	2.38

Projected Net Rating/100

14.8

Lineup Synergy Rating

5.9

Name	Pos	Age	Games	Minutes	Points	Rebounds	Assists	Steals	Blocks	VersatilityRating	CraftedDPM
Otto Porter Jr.	SF	28	63	22.2	8.2	5.7	1.5	1.1	0.5	90	1.73 91%
Draymond Green	PF	31	46	28.9	7.5	7.3	7	1.3	1.1	89	3.99 100%
Stephen Curry	PG	33	64	34.5	25.5	5.2	6.3	1.3	0.4	49	0.44 68%
Gary Payton II	PG	29	71	17.6	7.1	3.5	0.9	1.4	0.3	39	2.03 95%
Kevon Looney	C	25	82	21.1	6	7.3	2	0.6	0.6	6	1.94 94%

Each team's projected most versatile 5 man lineup, their projected net rating per 100 possessions, and the lineups synergy rating.

Short Story:

Remove the least versatile defenders, unless they happen to be a superstar.
Remove the horrible defenders, unless they happen to be a superstar.
Spit out the four best defenders of the remaining PG's, SG's and SF's.
Spit out the two most versatile defenders among the remaining PF's and Centers.
Spit out the 5 best defenders among the remaining 6 players.

This weeds out the defenders who would likely be exposed in a playoff matchup as well as the least switchable players (think Trey Burke/Greg Monroe). The idea was to find the best/most versatile lineup for those tough playoff matchups.

*Some teams may not have 5 players meet these qualification. These teams are usually garbage, or they have a position of great weakness and therefore did not have 5 players qualify.

Versatility Rating comes from a project put together by both Krishna Narsu and Patrick Miller of Nylon Calculus. A quick, concise explanation of Versatility Rating (higher is better) can be found on the glossary page.

Projected Net Rating/100

17.0

Lineup Synergy Rating

6.0

Name	Pos	Age	Games	Minutes	Points	Rebounds	Assists	Steals	Blocks	CraftedPM
Stephen Curry	PG	33	64	34.5	25.5	5.2	6.3	1.3	0.4	6.1 99%
Draymond Green	PF	31	46	28.9	7.5	7.3	7	1.3	1.1	2.57 91%
Otto Porter Jr.	SF	28	63	22.2	8.2	5.7	1.5	1.1	0.5	2.47 90%
Gary Payton II	PG	29	71	17.6	7.1	3.5	0.9	1.4	0.3	2.38 89%
Andre Iguodala	SF	38	31	19.4	4	3.2	3.7	0.9	0.7	1.28 80%

Esimated Win Total*

43.9

Name	Age	Games	Minutes	Points	Rebounds	Assists	Steals	Blocks	CraftedPM	CraftedPeakPM	PeakWAR
Jonathan Kuminga	19	70	16.9	9.3	3.3	0.9	0.4	0.3	-1.99 27%	3.02	7.1
Moses Moody	19	52	11.7	4.4	1.5	0.4	0.1	0.2	-2.46 18%	2.18	5.1
Jordan Poole	22	76	30	18.5	3.4	4	0.8	0.3	1.16 79%	1.41	4.1
Kevon Looney	25	82	21.1	6	7.3	2	0.6	0.6	1.27 80%	0.06	1.6

Young Core - players must be 26 or younger with a PeakWAR > 1 to qualify. Win Shares come from FiveThirtyEight's CARMELO Projections. Projections go out to 2025 and take each players peak projected season.

* Estimated Win Total - This is a crude estimate based upon adding these players to a team with slightly below average talent (a 26 win team). We came to this number by taking an average team's minutes distribution, making their three highest minute players replacement level (using -2.5 plus minus as replacement level), and filling out the roster with a group of average (~ -.5 plus minus) players. We then ran this roster through a simulated NBA schedule 100 times, and came out with about 26 wins.

The idea being that the players from the Young Core replace the minutes played by the replacement level players from the 26 win team.

*The Wins Above Replacement player projections come from our player projections, and update periodically throughout the season. While a player like Jayson Tatum is listed at a 9.1 peak WAR, this is what we consider his most likely outcome. It is just as possible that he goes over that 9.1 as he goes under.

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Golden State Warriors

Stats & Analytics

Roster Talent Level

Playoff Lock

Roster

Versatile

Closers

Young Core

Projected Net Rating/100

14.8

Lineup Synergy Rating

5.9

Projected Net Rating/100

17.0

Lineup Synergy Rating

6.0

Esimated Win Total*

43.9

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